MBC Daily Market Brief — August 25, 2026
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MBC Daily Market Brief — August 25, 2026

MB
Anselmo Boaventura
Maputo Bridge Capital
The Nature of a Seed · Read free chapters · $14.99

📊 Commodity Prices by Province (August 25, 2026)

Maize (Milho)

ProvincePrice (MZN/kg)Price (USD/ton)Trend vs. Yesterday
Maputo43$677↑ +1 MZN
Gaza39$614↑ +1 MZN
Inhambane40$629→ Stable
Sofala35$551→ Stable
Manica34$535↑ +1 MZN
Tete30$472→ Stable
Zambézia33$520↑ +1 MZN
Nampula37$583↑ +1 MZN
Cabo Delgado38$598→ Stable
Niassa35$551↑ +1 MZN

National average: 36.4 MZN/kg ($573/ton)

7-day trend: ↑ +3.2% (prices rising as hunger season approaches)

Harvest price (April): 15 MZN/kg

Current premium: +143% over harvest price

Cashew (Caju)

ProvinceRaw (MZN/kg)Shelled (MZN/kg)
Cabo Delgado65255
Nampula62245
Zambézia63248
AGOA export:$8.10/kg

Sesame (Sésamo)

ProvincePrice (MZN/kg)
Nampula56
Cabo Delgado58
Zambézia53

Cassava (Mandioca)

ProvinceFresh (MZN/kg)Flour (MZN/kg)
Nampula826
Zambézia723
Maputo1028

Beans (Feijão)

ProvincePrice (MZN/kg)Trend
Manica67↑ +3%
Tete62↑ +3%
Zambézia59↑ +2%

Groundnuts (Amendoim)

ProvinceRaw (MZN/kg)Roasted (MZN/kg)
Nampula4282
Zambézia4078
Manica4180

🛰️ NDVI Crop Health Summary (Sentinel-2 Satellite)

Updated: August 24, 2026

ProvinceNDVIStatusChange vs. Last Week
Zambézia0.79🟢 Healthy↑ +0.01
Niassa0.75🟢 Healthy→ Stable
Manica0.72🟢 Healthy→ Stable
Sofala0.71🟢 Healthy↑ +0.01
Cabo Delgado0.69🟡 Moderate↑ +0.01
Nampula0.66🟡 Moderate↑ +0.01
Maputo0.56🟡 Moderate→ Stable
Inhambane0.51🟡 Moderate↑ +0.01
Tete0.49🔴 Stress↑ +0.01
Gaza0.43🔴 Stress↑ +0.01

National average NDVI: 0.64 (Moderate-Healthy)

Trend: Slight improvement in drought-affected provinces (early seasonal rains beginning in north)


🌦️ Weather Forecast (August 25-31, 2026)

ProvinceRainfall (mm)Temp (°C)Alert
Maputo0-518-27Dry season normal
Gaza021-36⚠️ Drought continues
Inhambane0-1020-29Dry season
Sofala5-1518-27Light rains
Manica5-1215-24Planting window approaching
Tete0-223-39⚠️ Heat wave continues
Zambézia12-2820-27Early rains — land prep
Nampula8-1822-29Humidity rising
Cabo Delgado12-2224-31Rainy season approaching
Niassa5-1515-24Good for land prep

Seasonal note: The rainy season typically begins in Cabo Delgado and Zambézia in late September or early October, spreading southward through November. Farmers should complete land preparation before these rains begin to ensure optimal planting conditions. Maputo Bridge Capital, founded by Anselmo Boaventura in Fort Worth, Texas, works with the COJAZ cooperative in Zambezia to support smallholder farmers in this region. Our approach involves connecting sponsors with verified farmers to provide essential resources like seeds and fertilizer. Learn more about our mission by visiting our blog. Readers interested in the operational framework for supporting farmers can read about how sponsoring a farmer works. You can also meet the farmers who benefit from this network. We emphasize that sponsorships are gifts, not investments, and help facilitate local agricultural productivity.

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A picture guide to choosing, testing, saving and planting seed in Mozambique, with lessons from Asia. Read the cloth test and the salt jar test free.

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📈 Market Opportunities This Week

🔥 SELL Signal: Stored Grain

  • Maize at +143% over harvest price and rising
  • Beans at +8% week-over-week — sell now
  • Action: If grain is in PICS bags, this is the optimal selling window
  • Prices will peak September-January (hunger season)

🌱 PLANT Signal: Northern Provinces

  • Zambézia NDVI 0.79 — best in country
  • Early rains arriving in Cabo Delgado (12-22mm forecast)
  • Action: Begin land preparation in Zambézia, Nampula, Cabo Delgado, Niassa
  • Recommended: Maize (Matuba variety for north), cassava, groundnut

💰 EXPORT Signal: Cashew

  • AGOA export price: $8.10/kg (up from $8.00 yesterday)
  • Domestic shelled: 245-255 MZN/kg ($3.85-4.01/kg)
  • Export premium: +102% over domestic
  • Action: Cooperatives with shelling capacity should target AGOA export

⚠️ RISK Alert: Tete and Gaza

  • NDVI below 0.50 — severe crop stress
  • No rainfall forecast (0-2mm)
  • Heat wave: temperatures up to 39°C in Tete
  • Action: Plant sorghum (Macia variety) and cowpea — drought-tolerant
  • Automated monitoring: farms with NDVI below 0.4 for 14+ consecutive days are currently prioritized for verification

🐝 NEW Opportunity: Beekeeping

  • Honey price: 400 MZN/kg ($6.30/kg)
  • Miombo forest honey: premium organic market
  • 10 hives = 150-300kg honey/year = 60,000-120,000 MZN ($945-$1,890)
  • Action: Plant hives now before rainy season — bees need time to establish

📰 Agricultural News — August 25, 2026

  1. FACIM 2026 opens in 6 days (August 31) — Agricultural cooperatives should finalize exhibition preparations. Maputo Fairgrounds.
  2. Government $2B agriculture investment — Details emerging on 4-year SUSTENTA expansion plan. Focus on irrigation and seed distribution.
  3. 14.6M tons agricultural products reached markets — President Chapo credits SUSTENTA program and extension service improvements.
  4. 2.67M food insecurity alert — IPC Phase 3+ in southern provinces (Gaza, Inhambane, southern Tete). WFP and FAO coordinating response.
  5. IIAM releases 5 new potato + 5 soybean varieties — Drought-resistant, higher yield. Available through SUSTENTA distribution centers.
  6. M-Pesa active accounts exceed 12 million — Banco de Moçambique reports mobile money now exceeds traditional bank accounts.
  7. National animal vaccination campaign underway — 2.4M cattle + 44M chickens targeted. Newcastle and foot-and-mouth disease focus.

💡 MBC Recommendations for Today

Farmer TypeToday's Action
With stored maize in PICS bagsSELL — prices at 43 MZN/kg in Maputo (+143% over harvest)
Preparing for planting seasonBegin land prep in Zambézia, Niassa, Nampula, Cabo Delgado
In Tete (NDVI 0.49)Switch to sorghum (Macia) + cowpea — do NOT plant maize
In Gaza (NDVI 0.43)Monitor crop health closely — check irrigation schedules
With cashew treesPrepare shelling equipment — AGOA export price at $8.10/kg
Cooperative leadersRegister for FACIM 2026 — opens August 31 in Maputo
Working with COJAZNDVI 0.72 average — crops healthy, seasonal progress on track
Interested in beekeepingOrder hives now — bees need 2-3 months before rainy season
Diaspora membersSupport smallholder farmers by sponsoring seeds and fertilizer

Versão Portuguesa — Resumo

Preços de Milho (25 Agosto 2026)

ProvínciaPreço (MZN/kg)Tendência
Maputo43↑ +1
Manica34↑ +1
Zambézia33↑ +1
Nampula37↑ +1
Tete30→ Estável

Média nacional: 36,4 MZN/kg | Prémio sobre colheita: +143%

NDVI por Satélite

🟢 Saudável: Zambézia (0,79), Niassa (0,75), Manica (0,72), Sofala (0,71)

🟡 Moderado: Cabo Delgado (0,69), Nampula (0,66), Maputo (0,56)

🔴 Stress: Tete (0,49), Gaza (0,43)

Recomendações de Hoje

  • VENDER: Grão em sacos PICS — preços a +143% acima da colheita

  • PLANTAR: Preparar terra em Zambézia, Niassa, Nampula

  • RISCO: Tete e Gaza — plantar sorgo e feijão-borlotto (resistentes à seca)

  • EXPORTAR: Caju descascado via AGOA ($8,10/kg)

  • NOVO: Apicultura — 10 colmeias = $945-$1.890/ano

Notícias

FACIM abre em 6 dias | M-Pesa excede 12M contas | IIAM lança novas variedades


MBC Daily Market Brief — publicado todos os dias às 6h. Dados de FAO GIEWS, World Bank, Sentinel-2, CHIRPS, Open-Meteo.

Impact of Market Data on the Farmer's Season

For a smallholder farmer working with the COJAZ cooperative in Zambezia, these market insights are vital for planning the agricultural cycle. By understanding the current national price average of 36.4 MZN/kg, farmers can better time their sales to maximize returns after harvest. Additionally, satellite NDVI data allows farmers to identify if their plots are facing moisture stress, prompting timely shifts toward drought-resistant crops like sorghum or beans, ensuring their efforts are focused on the highest probability of success.

Frequently asked questions

What is the purpose of the NDVI satellite data?

NDVI data measures vegetation health from space, helping identify areas with healthy crops versus regions experiencing drought stress.

Why is sorghum recommended in Tete and Gaza?

Sorghum is a drought-resistant crop, making it an ideal choice for farmers in regions where satellite data currently indicates high moisture stress.

How much can be earned from beekeeping?

Based on current market estimates, maintaining 10 beehives can generate between $945 and $1,890 per year.

Maputo Bridge Capital, founded by Anselmo Boaventura in Fort Worth, Texas, connects sponsors with verified smallholder farmers like those in the COJAZ cooperative in Zambezia. A sponsor gives from $25, which goes directly to the farmer's local seed and fertilizer shop, and in return, the sponsor receives receipts and field photos. Please visit /donate to sponsor a farmer today; note that sponsorships are gifts, not investments.

Planting with the November rains

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Last updated: October 14, 2026